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德意志银行：欧洲央行若加息50个基点或预示指引的终结

2024-07-07 18:00:14 浏览:53

德意志银行经济学家Mark Wall称，如果欧洲央行周四将利率上调50个基点，偏离了之前的指引，那么这可能表明官员们愿意最终放弃提前沟通计划的做法。

Wall在给客户的一份报告中写道，“如果决策者加息幅度达到上个月所概述的25个基点的两倍，那么“没有人会批评”他们，他引述了在通胀形势恶化的背景下欧洲央行正在考虑采取此类行动的相关新闻报道。

“今年的一贯经验是，在这样一个快速上升的通胀环境下，前瞻性指引可能会很快过时，”Wall说。“如果确实偏离信号并在周四加息50个基点，欧洲央行将证明它确实处于依赖数据的模式中。”

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